MLB Best Bet #1 (-130) *0.5 UNIT... Its hard to take the Reds at -140, but they just have every advantage here with Burns on the mound Vs Alvarez. The Reds are 8-2 in Burns' last 10 starts. Alvarez has struggled walking 3+ batters in 4 of his last 5 starts, while giving up 14 ER's in 22.2 Innings over that span. He doesnt go deep into games and this Nats bullpen is not good, along with being a little taxed after their close win yesterday. Nats have won back to back games only a few times since start of July. I like the Reds to bounce back with a win here.